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NBL Store Fantasy Fix | Round 10

Written for nbl.com.au by Tom Hersz

 

Another trophy for the Wildcats’ trophy cabinet.

 

The inaugural NBL Cup concluded on Sunday and Perth once again topped all comers. They finished the Cup with a stellar 7-1 record, winning 18.5 of their 32 quarters as they proved to all the doubters that they cannot be counted out of the NBL21 title race.

 

Pocketing $150,000 in the process, Perth used their time in Melbourne to really solidify their roles, build cohesion and chemistry, and prove to the rest of the league that any team built around Bryce Cotton can contend. Add John Mooney to the mix and this team is really tough. 

 

You have to say the NBL Cup was a big success. Melbourne-based fans enjoyed being able to watch some great action at really great value prices, while those unable to be there in person got to see live hoops on their TVs at least four nights a week, for four straight weeks.

 

In the process, some teams learned a lot about themselves. The Phoenix started to gel and still have another gear once Ryan Broekhoff gets more settled, plus Keifer Sykes and Dane Pineau are still to return.

 

Brisbane found some form too behind a red-hot Nathan Sobey, an at-times dominant Vic Law, plus great support from a veteran supporting cast that includes Matt Hodgson and Jason Cadee.

 

While Melbourne learned that injuries can bite as they dropped their first 4 games of the season, including 3 in a row during what many touted as a ‘home tournament’ for them.

 

It goes to show that just when you think you have it all figured out, certain teams show something we haven’t seen before – whether good or bad.

 

Your NBL Fantasy team should have started to take shape by now and may be firing on all cylinders. Or it may be sputtering a little and need an injection of talent to get back on track.

 

Whatever you need, you’ve come to the right place as your weekly Fantasy Fix awaits.

 

Round 10 (Mar 19 – Mar 22)

 

2 Games: Adelaide, Cairns, Melbourne, Perth, Sydney

 

1 Game: Brisbane, Illawarra, New Zealand, S.E. Melbourne

 

With the NBL Cup in the rear-view mirror and no more triple game rounds, we’re back to good, old-fashioned singles and doubles. The Breakers and Phoenix have a lighter load after the triple game round, while Brisbane and Illawarra also have only one fixture.

 

5 teams still have doubles though, but only Melbourne and Perth carry those over into Round 11, so they could be priority teams this week.

 

To help you plan how to deploy your cash for the coming week, let’s take a look at the top 10 price risers and price fallers after Round 9;

 

Risers

  1. John Mooney: +$100,000 ($1.79m) 
  2. Nathan Sobey: +$100,000 ($1.51m)
  3. Josh Giddey: +$100,000 ($1.42m)
  4. Cam Gliddon: +$100,000 ($1.14m)
  5. Colton Iverson: +$100,000 ($1.09m) 
  6. Craig Moller: +$100,000 ($0.829m)
  7. Jack McVeigh: +$100,000 ($0.778m)
  8. Fabijan Krslovic: +$100,000 ($0.734m)
  9. Mason Peatling: +$100,000 ($0.488m)
  10. Izayah Mauriohooho-Le’Afa: +$100,000 ($0.394m)

 

Fallers

  1. Scott Machado: -$100,000 ($1.55m)
  2. Cam Oliver: -$100,000 ($1.54m)
  3. Tai Webster: -$100,000 ($1.38m)
  4. Ryan Broekhoff: -$100,000 ($0.900m)
  5. A.J. Ogilvy: -$100,000 ($0.813m)
  6. Kouat Noi: -$100,000 ($0.732m)
  7. Dillon Stith: -$100,000 ($0.541m)
  8. Brad Newley: -$96,000 ($0.762m)
  9. Jarell Martin: -$94,000 ($1.13m)
  10. Chris Goulding: -$86,000 ($0.977m)

 

Some familiar faces at the top of the price risers, but it was Josh Giddey who led all scorers for the round with 157 total fantasy points. In just two games, that’s pretty spectacular – forgetting his age. When you think he’s still just 18 years old, it’s even more impressive and he headlines the list of those who made you $100k.  

 

Joining Giddey was a man who has been a bit polarising as a fantasy option to-date in Colton Iverson. The big man had 153 total fantasy points across New Zealand’s three games, while Mitch Creek, John Mooney and Bryce Cotton rounded out the top 5 scorers. Only Mooney made $100k profit from that trio though, as ten players in total increased by the max.

 

On the flipside, Taipans duo Scott Machado and Cam Oliver again lost the max as Cairns continues to search for answers, while Tai Webster only averaged 31fp across his three games; letting down those who captained him last round.

 

Now that you’ve reviewed your cash reserves, it’s time to explore the best trade targets for Round 10.

 

Josh Giddey, PG, ADL ($1.42m): This kid turned 18 only 5 months ago. Think about what you were doing when you were 18 and then consider that Giddey just averaged 16.5 points, 7.5 rebounds, 12 assists, 1.5 steals and 3 made triples across Adelaide’s two games in Round 10. That’s an average of 78.5 fantasy points per game, which is 14.5 fp more than John Mooney’s league leading average right now. Giddey just keeps getting better and now has more help in Brandon Paul, which will only open things up more for the 2021 NBA Draft prospect. With two games on tap, he’s a great choice if you’re trading out of Tai Webster, but just be mindful of the Sixers’ single in Round 11.

 

Brandon Paul, SG, ADL ($0.990m): Speaking of Paul, he had himself quite the debut with 25 points and 6 threes. It wasn’t quite enough for the Sixers to hold on, but his 34 fp was a good start and a sign of things to come as he ramps up and starts to play a bigger role – especially on the defensive end where he’s averaged well over a steal per game for his career to-date.

 

 

Nathan Sobey, PG/SG, BNE ($1.51m): I know Brisbane only has one game this week, but what this man has been doing of late, cannot go unrecognised. Sobey has been arguably the best player in the league over the past month and his fantasy average (55 fp over last 3 and 50 fp over last 5) is testament to that.

 

Cam Oliver, PF/C, CNS ($1.54m): While SpaceCamm’s fantasy game has been a bit earthbound of late (just 34.6 fp over his last 5 games), he’s showing some signs of taking flight again. His performance versus SEM on Friday delivered the most points he’s scored since Round 2. And while he only had 7 boards and 1 block to go with his 22 points, it’s a step in the right direction. I feel like he’s due and with a double on tap and the cheapest price he’s had all season, it could be just the right time to bring him back.

 

Jock Landale, PF/C, MEL ($1.53m): Not much new here. He’s been playing really well, and if you ignore Saturday’s performance given his foul trouble and the team’s struggles, then you’ll see he averaged 55.3 fp over the three games prior. He scored 63 points and blocked 10 shots over that span. Landale may be the beneficiary offensively of some of United’s injury woes, but he’s making the most of it and he’s producing defensively too. Hopson and White are still out and Melbourne has two straight doubles.

 

 

Mitch McCarron, PG/SG, MEL ($1.40m): There are two players you want to own from Melbourne United right now. One we’ve already covered above and the other averages 45.3 fp against Sydney and Illawarra this season – the team’s he’ll face in Round 10. Sure, this team has struggled of late and they’re re-acclimating Chris Goulding and Shea Ili, but McCarron’s role has only become more important as the season has progressed and he’s owning that role. 

 

Finn Delany, PF, NZB ($1.11m) and Colton Iverson, C, NZB ($1.09m): The Breakers only have one game this week but these guys deserve a shout out. When all eyes have been on the Brothers Webster, this frontcourt duo stepped up in a big way in Round 9. Iverson’s 153 total fp ranked second on the round, while Delany’s 122 was seventh. I told you I had a feeling about Delany; he was due. And I think Iverson has found his niche with this group, which is a positive. They have a double coming up in Round 11, so even if you don’t trade them in this week, they are both ones to keep in mind going forward.

 

Bryce Cotton, SG, PER ($1.73m) and John Mooney, PF/C, PER ($1.79m): With two more doubles on tap, can you really afford to be without this pair? They not only produce, but they win and are great to watch, so let them help you win too. Sometimes it’s just that simple. 

 

Jarell Martin, PF/C, SYD ($1.13m): After missing 3 weeks of action, Martin was eased back into the Kings line-up carefully in Round 9, playing just 12 minutes against Illawarra and then 21 minutes in their win over Brisbane. He had 21 points in that second game, showing how quickly he can have an impact when he’s good to go. Martin was averaging 40.7fp before his injury and had 61 fp the last time he faced Cairns who he’ll play this week. He’s ready to deliver for you again.

 

 

Casper Ware, PG, SYD ($1.38m): If you throw out that disastrous effort by the entire Kings team against the Hawks, then Ware has been one of the hottest players in the league of late. He had a season-high 68 fp against Brisbane on Saturday (one dime off a double double) coming off games of 56 and 40 fp in Round 8. With a double round ahead, Ware could be just what you need.

 

Others to consider: Here are three good value options to consider at the SF position – one that has been particularly thin this season.

 

Tom Abercrombie, SF, NZB ($0.767m): Some things never seem to age. If it seems like Abercrombie has been hitting game winners for years, it’s because he has. And as good as that shot was, it’s his overall level of play lately that means he’s one to watch ahead of a Round 11 double. SF is thin this season and Abercrombie has been offering 30 fp over his past 3 games at a great value price that you have to think about.

 

Ryan Broekhoff, SG/SF, SEM ($0.900m): Once again, you’ll need to be patient, as the Phoenix have two straight singles on tap, but we got a glimpse of what Ryan Broekhoff can be for this team. We don’t know how long they’ll be without Mitch Creek, so Broekhoff could be thrust into a bigger role immediately as Simon Mitchell looks to plug that gap, making him one to definitely keep an eye on.

 

 

Craig Moller, SF/PF, SYD ($0.829m): Some may say he’s underperforming this season, but Moller is doing what Moller does. He’s making an impact on the boards, defending well and taking his opportunities on offence. Having said that, he’s done it a little better of late as he’s averaged 34.3 fp over his past 4 games, topping out at 50 fp against Brisbane last round. He’s confident, he’s trusted and he’s producing. Another cheaper SF option to consider.

 

Captain’s Choice

 

With only 5 teams on doubles this round and no triples, it’s really about maximising the double double probabilities and trusting the form. There are some usual suspects at play here, but also an emerging talent who we spoke about earlier. 

 

So without further ado, here are my top four choices for Captain in Round 10:

 

Josh Giddey, PG, ADL

 

Jock Landale, PF/C, MEL

 

Bryce Cotton, SG, PER

 

John Mooney, PF/C, PER

 

Giddey and Landale are a little riskier. The upside is there, but they’re much less consistent than the NBL Cup winning duo from Perth.

 

Cotton is incredible, but it’s Mooney’s double double propensity that has him sitting atop the Fantasy Leaderboard for average fp and atop my list of Captain choices for Round 10.

 

Mooney first, Cotton second and then depending on how you like the match ups, Giddey or Landale as a point of difference.

 

Remember, there is still a long way to go. We’re not even half way through the season yet, so you may still need some help to learn how to get the most out of your team. 

 

By trading in some of the names above, you’ll be headed in the right direction and could be on your way to your own trophy soon enough.

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