Hungry Jack's NBL
Bulk Nutrients NBL Fantasy Fix | Round 11
Written for nbl.com.au by Tom Hersz
We’ve seen breakout performances before. They usually signal a young player who has been figuring out how to maximise his talent, putting it all together on a given night.
That’s what we saw from Luke Travers on Saturday night.
Now in his first year as a fully contracted player, he’s continued his ascension from last season, but showcased an area of his game in Perth’s win that many had doubts over.
Travers knocked down 4 of 6 three-pointers against the Phoenix on his way to a career-high 24 points.
He’s already on NBA Draft Boards, but this kind of performance is sure to raise some eyebrows and shoot him up those pre-draft rankings – especially if he can prove he can shoot like that consistently as this season progresses.
If your NBL Fantasy needs to find a way to break out and move up the rankings, then it may just be a case of finding some sources of consistent production.
Luckily your weekly Bulk Nutrients NBL Fantasy Fix is here to help.
Round 11 (Feb 10 – Feb 14)
2 Games: Brisbane, Cairns, S.E. Melbourne, Sydney
1 Game: Adelaide, Illawarra, Melbourne, New Zealand, Perth, Tasmania
Seven more games are on tap this week for the third straight round. South East Melbourne and Sydney have another double each and are joined by Brisbane and Cairns.
Believe it or not, this will be Cairns’ first double-game round of the season. They’ve played just seven games this season, so will have more of those to come. Doubles in Rounds 12 and 13 are already locked in.
The Phoenix will also have another double in Round 12, while Brisbane will back up their Round 11 double in Round 13.
Not sure how to maximise your cash to bring in the guys you want? Let’s check out the top 10 price risers and price fallers after Round 10;
- Jarell Martin: +$100,000 ($1.66m)
- Jo Lual-Acuil: +$100,000 ($1.54m)
- Jaylen Adams: +$100,000 ($1.34m)
- Josh Magette: +$100,000 ($1.29m)
- Ryan Broekhoff: +$100,000 ($1.06m)
- Peyton Siva: +$100,000 ($1.06m)
- Will Magnay: +$94,000 ($1.06m)
- Bul Kuol: +$91,000 ($0.705m)
- Tahjere McCall: +$88,000 ($1.48m)
- Keanu Pinder: +$87,000 ($1.09m)
- Jeremiah Martin: -$100,000 ($1.01m)
- Isaiah Moss: -$100,000 ($0.800m)
- Harry Froling: -$100,000 ($0.721m)
- AJ Ogilvy: -$100,000 ($0.492m)
- Majok Majok: -$98,000 ($0.632m)
- Zhou Qi: -$86,000 ($1.34m)
- Sam Froling: -$82,000 ($1.37m)
- Caleb Agada: -$80,000 ($1.27m)
- Tyler Harvey: -$68,000 ($1.30m)
- Vic Law: -$63,000 ($1.52m)
A Sydney duo headlines the list of maximum price risers this week as Jaylen Adams topped the round with a total of 108 fp. Jarrell Martin’s 94 fp were also one of the top scores of the week along with another King in Xavier Cooks who had 96 total fp, but actually lost some money after his down game last week.
Yanni Wetzell came in second with 102 total fp, but only rose $21k. However, there were others earning a max rise including Jo Lual-Acuil whose 87 fp ranked fifth for the round, but was from one game – the biggest single game score of the week.
Josh Magette, Ryan Broekhoff and Peyton Siva also rose by $100k this week, while Will Magnay and the Snakes trio of Bul Kuol, Tahjere McCall and Keanu Pinder rounded out the top 10 price risers.
Jarell Martin is now the most expensive player in the game at $1.66m, closely followed by Cooks ($1.59m) and Lual-Acuil ($1.54m). Vic Law, Bryce Cotton and Mitch Creek are the only other players at or above the $1.5 million price tag.
On the flipside, Jeremiah Martin’s production has fallen off a cliff and his price has followed with a max price drop. He’s joined this week by Isaiah Moss, Harry Froling and AJ Ogilvy.
Some big names also lost money this week. Majok Majok, Zhou Qi, Sam Froling, Caleb Agada, Tyler Harvey and Vic Law rounded out the top 10, which won’t help your wallet as all but Zhou Qi are on singles and candidates to be traded out this week.
With your spending money clear, let’s check out the top trade targets for Round 11.
Robert Franks, PF/C, BNE ($1.37m): After weeks of studly production and value increases, Franks’ price has come back down slightly recently. He did have his best game in a while in Round 10 though, as his 22 points, 6 boards and 4 steals helped him to a healthy 60 fp. That’s his third 60+ fp game of the season and while it came in a bad loss with no Nathan Sobey, it proves that his three-game downturn was just a blip. With two games this week and again in Round 13, and a healthy 46.8 fp average on the season, Franks should be a key focus for most Fantasy managers this week.
Nathan Sobey, PG/SG, BNE ($1.25m): After recently ticking over 200 NBL games, Sobes unfortunately missed Round 10 with a minor injury. Assuming he’s good to go this week, then he’s an interesting one to consider. His form has been a little down of late, but perhaps a week off to rest and recover is just what he needed. At his best, he’s elite on both ends of the floor and capable of putting up big fantasy totals. I’m betting he gets back to that level sooner rather than later and a double this week is a good time to test that.
Tahjere McCall, SG/SF, CNS ($1.48m): It’s finally here – the Snakes first double of the season! We’ve been down this road before though and after a few false starts, it should finally be time to deploy McCall with confidence. We know by now he’s a big-time talent and capable of impacting a game in a variety of ways. He’s scored in double digits in every game and also gets active defensively and on the boards. But he’s also great at creating for others and his 40 assists (6.7 apg) are elite, contributing to big fantasy scores. He’s not cheap but with doubles on tap in three straight rounds, and the second highest fp average in the league, he’s as much a must-have as we’ve seen all year.
Keanu Pinder, PF, CNS ($1.09m): Just quietly, Pinder has been a consistent and steadying force for Adam Forde and the Snakes this season. He’ll still have the odd quiet night, but by and large he’s been really productive. He’s active defensively and on the boards and shown that he can score when given the chance. Pinder has averaged 39.6 fp over his last five games and topped 40 fp in four of those. He’s a point of difference and someone who could help you with Cairns’ upcoming schedule.
Stephen Zimmerman, C, CNS ($1.26m): Yes, he’s been up and down. Yes, his fantasy floor (11 fp) is concerning. But he’s also coming off his best game of the season with 70 fp. Zimmerman dominated Brisbane with 11 points, 14 boards (7 o-rebs), 4 assists and 3 blocks. That won’t be the norm – especially not the blocks – but some large percentage of that typically is. The schedule is great, the price is attractive, so why not?
Jo Lual-Acuil, C, MEL ($1.54m): You cannot have a 20/20 game and not get some love from the Fantasy Fix, no matter the schedule this week. Sure, United don’t have a double in Round 11, but they do in Round 12 and JLA dominated like there was no tomorrow on Sunday. His 87 fp was huge and he actually now boasts the highest fantasy point average in the league at 50.25 fp. Expensive? Yes. But you get what you pay for.
Ryan Broekhoff, SG/SF, SEM ($1.06m): It’s not often your three-man grabs 16 boards, but that’s exactly what Rowdy did on Monday night. He’s been improved on the boards all year (6.8 rpg), but this was something else. He also scored 11 points to make sure he cracked that double-double mark and reward his fantasy owners with an equal season-high 52 fp. With two more doubles on tap, his ability to contribute in multiple ways makes him very appealing.
Mitch Creek, SF/PF, SEM ($1.50m): Coming up one board shy of a double-double on Saturday hurt Creek’s score (37 fp), but he backed it up with a very solid 45 fp on Monday. He failed to hit a three-pointer this round in either game – the first time he’s done so all season – so you know there is upside from Round 10 to come. Creek is still a beast and that schedule makes him even more attractive.
Jaylen Adams, PG, SYD ($1.34m): It’s Jaylen’s world and we’re all just living in it. Adams has been electric lately on both ends, but his ability to create for others, score himself and get on the boards from the point guard spot is the reason why he’s ranked atop that position right now. He’s averaging 61 fp over his last 3 games and has topped 50 fp in four of his past five games. He also led the league with 108 total fp this past round. It’s Sydney’s last double for a while so make the most of it.
Xavier Cooks, PF, SYD ($1.59m) and Jarell Martin, PF/C, SYD ($1.66m): They’re expensive and they don’t have a double after this week, but Cooks and Martin are playing so well right now, they have to be in consideration for your team. Cooks had a whopping 18 points and 15 rebounds against Tasmania, while Martin averaged a double-double (14.5 points, 10 rebounds) on the round.
Others to consider:
Bul Kuol, SF, CNS ($0.705m): The first-year player is getting an opportunity to play with all the Taipans’ injuries and he’s making the most of it. Kuol had a career high 26 points, hitting 8 threes on Saturday in Brisbane and topped out at 41 fp. Not sure if he can do that again, but the Snakes’ schedule is so attractive, you have to keep an eye on him to find out.
Luke Travers, SF/PF, PER ($0.970m): It’s the third time he’s topped 50 fp this season and there’s going to be more where that came from. Perth’s next double is in Round 13, so keep an eye on Travers to see if he stays hot from the perimeter and be prepared to grab him before his price rises too much higher.
Brandon Ashley, PF/C, SEM ($0.978m): I feel like Ashley is on the precipice of erupting. He’s had some solid games and was really good against Perth (44 fp), but the foul trouble has been an issue. However, he seems to be having more of an impact than Zhou Qi lately and if that trend continues and Zhou keeps having to sit for long stretches, Ashley becomes very appealing. Watch this space.
A little less choice than last week, but still plenty of great options.
Headlined by last week’s top scorer in Jaylen Adams, who again has a double, the other obvious candidates are Tahjere McCall, Robert Franks and Xavier Cooks, while Mitch Creek and Jarell Martin are also in consideration.
We don’t really need to go any deeper than that, but if you want a couple of sleepers or points of difference, you could give a look to Stephen Zimmerman, Zhou Qi or Xavier Munford, but I just don’t trust them as much.
So, looking at those first five guys, if we go by form alone from Round 10 and recent weeks, the choices become clearer.
Without further ado, here are my top three Captain choices for Round 11:
Robert Franks, PF/C, BNE
Tahjere McCall, SG/SF, CNS
Jaylen Adams, PG, SYD
Throw a blanket over these three, but because I have to rank them I’d give a slight edge to Adams given his track record against South East Melbourne and Brisbane this season, followed by McCall second and Franks third.
If you want to break out and rise up the rankings, you don’t need to do anything drastically different. Just trust the work you’ve been putting in and make the smart plays. It’ll soon come together for you.